david37

Profit is the aim and the first principles applied to all my selections are time, class, weight, trainer and jockey ratings. Normal minimum price is 2/1 but a good bet can turn up at any price. Invariably win bets, rarely EW.

Estimated Prizes
this month

£10

Estimated Prize money
this month

david37's Tips History

17 May 2024

20:30 8:30 Kilbeggan

Custom Taylor

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 3.75 on 17/05 at 13:060.25 deduction for Dacman@3.75 withdrawn at 18:450.30 deduction for Lovely Hurling @3.000 withdrawn at 19:37R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.75 x (1-0.55) = 2.24

@2.24

Win

Top on weight rates and the drying ground should enhance his chances today and another prominent display expected and if he gets to the front today, will be hard to catch.

20:25 8:25 Hamilton

Persian Phoenix

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.25

Lose

-50

Top weight and top rate which is always positive in a 3yo handicap. The biggest positives for this horse today are the step up to a slightly longer trip and more significantly the booking of Joe Fanning, surprisingly his first time on board.

18:40 6:40 Hamilton

Catherine Chroi

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@3.25

Void

She has been in the form of her life and her latest two wins, one of which over this CD, have suggested there is plenty more in the tank.

18:10 6:10 Kilbeggan

Brave Fortune 0.00

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

One of the more experienced in the dark field and with top rates on time and weight, looks set to shed the maiden tag.

16 May 2024

20:22 8:22 Lingfield

Diamond Dreamer

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Another rise in the weights but he has missed the start in both his recent races and still managed to win. Probert off and Davies on may not be a positive but sometimes a change of rider can be - time will tell.

20:10 8:10 Fontwell

Jubilant

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

Tight price but another Owen runner with a big chance. Only gone RH corse so far but he seems a well balanced and tractable horse and won with plenty in hand latest.

19:10 7:10 Fontwell

Hecouldbetheone

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

He was all out to win here latest and is sure to be opposed in the market at some stage. Now the race is down to 4 runners, he may be able to dictate matters with a lower degree of difficulty.

18:22 6:22 Lingfield

Young Endless

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Has been in exuberant form in the spring and showed the right spirit latest at Southwell. Latest run here did not go so well but he has improved a lot since then and I don't think the track will stop further progress.

18:10 6:10 Fontwell

Millies Mite

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

She may have needed the run here last time but still managed to win. Looked to have a hard race but she seems tough and genuine and still has an edge on the speed figures.

17:52 5:52 Lingfield

Publicity

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Broke his duck when stepped up to this trip at this course 2 races back. Bumped into a decent horse for the grade at Wolves and now back at Lingfield should resume the winning thread.

17:40 5:40 Fontwell

Island Run

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

It's a tight price but the weight rates and time rates are favourable and the course should suit. Unchanged mark and the reversion to hurdles seems to have helped.

17:20 5:20 York

Whiskey Pete

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@5.50

Lose

-50

Signed off last term with a nice win under a good ride from Hector. Change of rider today but this is a drop in class and although first time out, the yard has had winners already.

17:02 5:02 Salisbury

Cracker Star

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Two good runs on the AW and the longer trip clearly is suitable for him. Some interesting types in opposition but if he can settle better in this small field, should go close.

16:50 4:50 Perth

Grand Voyage

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Top weight and top rate as far as the weights are concerned and the 8yo has dropped to a clearly winning mark over trip and on ground to suit.

16:00 4:00 Salisbury

Master Builder

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.50 used instead of 2.75 takenBOG

@3.50

Win

125

He bumped into a good one at Windsor and there is another Gosden fancy to overcome today but, given that debut effort, he looks the one to beat today with just normal improvement.

15:45 3:45 York

Ancient Wisdom

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.88

Lose

-50

Best pot of the day and a good looking renewal of the Derby Trial. The trainer has sounded a note of caution re the ground but with superior time figures and clear best on official figures, he should stake an emphatic claim on the Blue Riband.

15:35 3:35 Limerick

Alabama Calling

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Win

400

It's a dark field and a bit of a risk but she did much better latest and seems to be going the right way. Has a chance on time lines and the price is fair.

15:15 3:15 York

Free Wind

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

She seems to do better in the summertime so the imperoved weather and going conditions should see her to good effect today. The stable has been a bit stuttery, like many others but will soon be in top gear.

14:05 2:05 Limerick

Pinar Del Rio

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

137

I thought he won more easily than it appeared for us latest and even with 8 pounds more, my figures suggest he can win again.

15 May 2024

20:30 8:30 Tipperary

Angelo Dundee

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-50

Always a risk with amateur riders but the horse has good credentials and the Mullins fav is sure to be over-bet, such is his record in such races. Promising run latest after a year off and will be a lot better for that run.

20:15 8:15 Sligo

Bladon

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.00

Lose

-50

Apparently the second string according to the market. I would imagine that McDonagh had the choice and he has gone with Bladon and with good reason. Top on time rates and now on debut for the trainer could easily break his maiden now stepped up by 5 furlongs.

16:45 4:45 York

Zabeel Road

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

Any horse from this yard that wins FTO is worthy of close examination. This one started well at Ayr and ran out a comfortable winner in a C5. Sure to improve a stone or two for that run and the big jump in class may not be as fanciful as it looks.

16:15 4:15 York

Fire Demon

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Quite impressive on latest two starts with wins over 6f. The latest was at Newcastle which is the stiffest AW 6f so it seems likely that the 7f today will be ok. Top on the clock and close to top weight and looks mightily progressive for the buoyant yard and resurgent rider.

15:00 3:00 Ffos Las

Robbers Bridge

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Seems to have found his feet in the last few months and latest 3 or 4 runs have been progressive. Only up 12 points from the doldrums and another big run looks on the cards and well to the fore on time figures.

14 May 2024

21:00 9:00 Ayr

Tafsir

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.75 used instead of 3.25 takenBOG

@3.75

Win

137

She has won at the other Scottish tracks and although slightly above winning mark, she has more wins in her I hope and this looks a good chance to enhance her Caledonian portfolio.

20:30 8:30 Ayr

Gobi Sunset

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

The ground is a slight worry but a good effort latest after missing the break and a repeat of that with a level break should put him in the shake-up.

20:00 8:00 Ayr

Archduke Ferdinand

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@6.50

Lose

-50

The trainer had three live chances here tonight and this one looks the most likely. Just nabbed on the line latest and a repeat of that effort today on the turf will put him in the winners' enclosure.

13 May 2024

20:15 8:15 Windsor

Stryder

Daily Racing

50 WINAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@8.00

Lose

-50

Quite close on ratings with Recon Mission and obviously is a much more attractive price. Not really proven yet on turf but his family has done ok on it.

18:25 6:25 Roscommon

Action Plan

Daily Racing

50 WINAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@10.00

Lose

-50

Just got there latest and the step up in trip looks like a logical step. The rider is on the crest of a wave and always a positive factor in these situations.

18:05 6:05 Windsor

Cuban Melody

Daily Racing

50 WINNBAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@3.60

Win

130

She is clearly a work in progress and will hopefully have learned plenty from her two AW runs. Best at the weights here and looks set to get off the mark for the incandescent stable.

17:40 5:40 Killarney

Nas Na Riogh

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.50 used instead of 2.88 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@3.50

Win

125

Did it nicely from the front at Tpperary and the track and ground look right for a follow-up under similar tactics in a smaller field.

17:10 5:10 Killarney

Ollie La Ba Ba

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Hopefully the long time off will have been well spent brushing up his jumping technique. If so, he has the time and weight figures in his favour and should go well.

16:30 4:30 Windsor

Hes Got Game

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.50

Win

125

The yard has clicked into gear now and this looks another live chance for the erstwhile champ to take another step towards regaining the trophy. Top on all measures and sure to go well.

12 May 2024

18:30 6:30 Newcastle

Billy Mill

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Seven furlongs looks like his trip and he is a CD winner. Only one point higher than latest win and Saffie won on him at Wolves.

17:20 5:20 Leopardstown

Cow Chico

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

He could still be anything at this stage and was a very easy winner at Dundalk on second start. Stable in good form and the Frankel colt can take the slight step up in class.

16:17 4:17 Newcastle

My Little Queens

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

She could be named the winner a long way out at Hamilton and did not have a hard race. This is a better race but she has won in this class before today.

16:10 4:10 Leopardstown

Finsceal Luas

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.50

Lose

-50

She will appreciate the step up in trip and the better ground and the stable has made its usual bright start to the turf season.

16:03 4:03 Ludlow

Awesome Foursome

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-50

With the stable in good form and a 7 pound claimer engaged, he can get back to winning ways on a track and ground that should suit.

15:15 3:15 Plumpton

Magistrato

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

He probably needed the run in April having missed most of the winter. Much better on good ground which he should get today and figures to go close on time rates.

11 May 2024

18:25 6:25 Leicester

Rogue Tornado

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG

@4.00

Win

150

It should be close with Fiddler's Green but marginal preference for the Owen runner - the stable has been in fine form lately and the rider gets on for the first time.

16:45 4:45 Lingfield

Miss Anya

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Only Taryn's tenth ride for the yard but she has ridden a winner for Hughes and with top weight and top rate on time , plus her 7 pound claim, this could be the best chance to double her current tally. It's a 5f sprint so only a modest EW is recommended.

16:35 4:35 Hexham

Five Dollar Fine

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 4.33 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@4.50

Win

175

He is a CD winner which is a big plus here and the rider was on board when successful here latest. That was a comfortable win and now on better ground he can win again. Stays further so may make the running if there is no pace early.

16:30 4:30 Cork

Toor Khov

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNRAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@6.00

Void

Small yard and low profile rider but the horse has a bit of form and the same combination ran well two back and his second to Answering may be good enough form to get off the mark today.

15:45 3:45 Ascot

Magico

Daily Racing

50 WINAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@6.50

Lose

-50

This is very tricky and it is always a worry for me when the Timeform selection matches my own. That organisation is unequalled when it comes to analysis, assessment and interpretation but I know from personal experience they are not the greatest tipsters in the world. So, the market early is not helping confidence but Hollie's mount has plenty of pluses in terms of time and class rates and the price is more than fair.

15:30 3:30 Nottingham

Jumbeau 0.00

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Not won since her debut two years ago but, having won on 2yo debut, she could potentially repeat the feat today on ground to suit and the progressive trainer has found a suitable target. Top on all measures and the market suggests she is well fancied by connections.

15:00 3:00 Lingfield

Illinois

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@2.88

Lose

-50

Finished behind The Euphrates at Leopardstown and probably needed the run more than his stable companion. With that run under his belt and an extra furlong or so, the son of the late and much lamented Galileo, will be a different proposition today and may well announce himself as a Derby contender after all.

14:20 2:20 Nottingham

Call To Action

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

There is not much value in the price but it is around the right price for a horse with a 32% chance of winning. Stable has started well and the rider is a capable one. Only ran on the sand so far but the ground today should be ok for most horses.

10 May 2024

20:25 8:25 Ripon

Havana Prince

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@6.00

Win

250

Dave Nolan is clearly not everyone's favourite jockey in the north but he is certainly one of mine. All the same, he will have his hands full with this one but given the inside draw and favourable weight rating, this is his best chance for a while.

20:18 8:18 Nottingham

Showalong

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

This is his fifth run of the season so sure to be fit enough now. The trainer has found a pretty poor race for him and he rates the class act in the field and back down to a winning mark.

19:35 7:35 Cork

Lady Doris

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@4.50

Void

I am not entirely convinced that this is the right trip for the Churchill filly but, for now at least, let's give the trainer the benfit of the doubt. Only her third run so reason to hope for some improvement and she won't need more than normal progress to win this.

18:25 6:25 Cork

May Night

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Win

600

All his winning has been on the sand but no reason to suspect that he cannot win on the turf as well Comes here after a successful mission to Chelmsford and the time and weight rates suggest he can go close again.

18:05 6:05 Ripon

Mattice

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Win

350

He won a C4 at Beverley last Autumn and it is a long time further back to find the last time he ran in a C5 race so, this being the case and given the yard has made a bright start, he looks set to go close today. Just caught at Beverley on seasonal debut, also in a C4 so he can make all today on this easier track and will be difficult to catch with a good start.

17:27 5:27 Nottingham

Redhot Whisper

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.50

Lose

-50

Over-faced the last twice so those runs can be ignored. Now back in more tranquil waters there is every chance he can get off the mark in this novice stakes, has the best time and weight rates and the trainer has a good strikerate here.

16:40 4:40 Cork

Gunzburg

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

Started her 2yo career very well and was highly tried thereafter. This looks a good starting point for her again and may be fit enough to do herself justice, such is the current form of the yard in general.

16:05 4:05 Cork

New Theory

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

It's a dark field but on all known public form he is the one to beat. By an Irish Guineas winner out of a mare whose Damsire was a July Cup winner, the trip and ground will be made to measure and normal improvement from first run puts him right in the picture.

13:50 1:50 Ascot

Dragon Leader

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

He tastedn of defeat but once as a 2YO and that was ina £300k Sales Race. Alreday a listed winner so the big question is, has he trained on to be a decent 3yo. Time will tell but the weights today are in his favour and the drying ground will merely augment his chance.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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