bowhillbear

I like statistics and researching form. Often a good indicator, but like everything in life - stand back and think logically. Football, tennis, cricket, horse racing fan - but most of all, skiing.

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bowhillbear's Tips History

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17 May 2024
18:30 England Women vs Pakistan Women 2nd Match

England Women

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.06

Open

0

England won the first match in this series by 53 runs and head to head they have now won the last 5, all batting first, by margins of between 26 and 114 runs. Recently England have won 4 of their last 5 T20 matches, whilst Pakistan have won 1 of their last 5 T20 internationals.

S Shamas (Pakistan Women)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@6.00

Open

0

Playing her 6th T20 international, batting at no.3, she has a good chance of having time to build an innings, and she top scored with 35 in the first match of the series before being run out. She has also played 12 ODI's with a top score of 72 from 11 innings.

ME Bouchier (England Women)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@5.00

Open

0

Opening batsman who will have time to build an innings, particularly important if Pakistan bat first and are bowled out for a low score, which is possible. She has scored 432 runs in 22 international T20 innings with two fifties including a top score of 91. She only scored 4 runs in the first match, but she has been in good form for Vipers in the Rachael Heyhoe Flint Trophy.
16:15 4:15 York

Dark Tornado

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

A lightly raced 3 year old, having his first run for a new Trainer. He finished a good 2nd of 9 over 7 furlongs at Ascot in September on his last appearance. Regular jockey J F Egan is his regular jockey who partners today.
14:00 Emma Navarro vs Fiona Ferro

Emma Navarro

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.12

Win

6

22 v 149 in terms of ranking, this is the first meeting between these two players, with Navarro having won 27 of 37 matches this year including 6 of 9 on clay courts. Ferro has won 13 of 24 matches in 2024 including 5 of 11 on clay court surfaces.

Emma Navarro to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

22 v 149 in terms of ranking, this is the first match between these players with Navarro having won 27 of 37 matches this year including 6 of 9 on clay court surfaces. Ferro has won 13 of 24 matches in 2024 including 5 of 11 on clay courts. Navarro is particularly strong on clay and should win in two sets.
10:00 Varvara Gracheva vs Katie Boulter

Katie Boulter

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

88 v 28 in terms of ranking, Boulter won their only previous meeting in straight sets on a hard court. She has won 16 of 24 matches this year including 3 of 6 on clay court surfaces. Gracheva has won 15 of 29 matches in 2024 including 11 of 16 on clay courts.
16 May 2024
17:00 Bodo/Glimt v Tromso

Bodo/Glimt

1st v 16th, Bodo/Glimt are 5-1-0 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 14-4 in the league recently whilst Tromso are 1-0-5 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 7-11. A home win looks a likely outcome today.

Bodo/Glimt #3-2

50 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-50

1st v 16th, Bodo/Glimt are 5-1-0 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 15-4, including wins by 4-2 and 3-1. Tromso are 1-0-5 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 7-11, including defeats by 1-2 and 2-4. Head to head 4 of the last 6 meetings have ended 3-2/2-3.
17:00 SK Brann v Sandefjord

SK Brann

2nd v 11th, Sk Brann are unbeaten in 11 meetings in all competitions and they are 4-2-0 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 9-1. Sandefjord are 2-1-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 9-8.
17:00 Viking FK v Lillestrom

Viking FK

5th v 14th, Viking FK have won the last two meetings and they are 2-3-1 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 8-7. Lillestrom are 2-1-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 4-9, having lost their last two goals without scoring.
15:45 3:45 York

Caviar Heights

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.50

Lose

-50

An improving 3 year old, he has finished in the first three 4 times from 6 starts on turf and was 1st of 5 by a comfortable margin when upped to 10 furlongs at Newmarket earlier this month. Clifford Lee is his regular jockey who rides today on favourable good going.
15:00 Bodrumspor v Boluspor

Draw

4th v 7th, this is a play off match that looks close. The recent league meeting ended 1-1 with Boluspur winning the reverse fixture 2-1. Bodrumspor are 2-4-0 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 7-3 whilst Boluspur are 3-1-2 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 6-5.
14:00 Iga Swiatek vs Coco Gauff

Iga Swiatek

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.17

Win

9

1 v 3 in terms of ranking, Swiatek leads 9-1 head to head including 3-0 on clay courts. She has won 36 of 40 matches this year including 13 of 13 on clay court surfaces. Gauff has won 25 of 32 matches in 2024 including 7 of 9 on clay courts.
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15 May 2024
20:00 Man Utd v Newcastle

Newcastle

50 WIN

@2.35

Lose

-50

8th v 6th, Manchester United are unbeaten in 8 home league matches against Newcastle, but their form recently has been poor, and they are 1-3-2 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 9-12, having lost their last two games without scoring. Newcastle are 4-1-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 15-5, currently unbeaten in 3.
19:45 Brighton v Chelsea

Draw

50 WIN

@4.20

Lose

-50

10th v 7th, Chelsea won the reverse fixture 3-2 and are 4-1-1 from 6 recently, with a goals aggregate of 15-9. However Brighton, despite indifferent form recently, do have a generally good home record excluding defeats to Arsenal and Manchester City. They are 1-2-3 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 3-12, and are now unbeaten in 2.

Moises Caicedo

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@3.40

Win

120

A reasonable prospect, having received 10 yellow cards already this season. He is possibly an unpopular former Brighton player too who may receive a hostile reception, and who will be defending against tricky players like Enciso and Fati.
15:15 3:15 York

Mill Stream

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Win

240

A 3 times winner over 6 furlongs, he has finished in the first three 7 times from 11 starts on turf, most recently at Newmarket in April, finishing 2nd of 14 over 6 furlongs in a Group 3 race, returning from a long break after wind surgery. He has suitable going today an an excellent jockey booking in William Buick who has partnered before.
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12:00 Jelena Ostapenko vs Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.30

Win

15

10 v 2 in terms of ranking, Sabalenka leads 2-0 head to head although this is their first meeting on a clay court. Sabalenka has won 23 of 29 matches this year including 9 of 11 on clay courts. Ostapenko has won 24 of 33 matches in 2024 including 7 of 10 matches on clay court surfaces.
09:30 Harriet Dart vs Katie Boulter

Katie Boulter

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

28 v 85 in terms of ranking, Boulter leads 4-1 head to head, all 4 wins in straight sets, although today is the first meeting on a clay court. Boulter has won 14 of 22 matches this year including 1 of 4 on clay courts whilst Dart has won 15 of 27 matches in 2024 including 3 of 7 on clay court surfaces.
14 May 2024
20:00 Tottenham v Man City

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.25

Lose

-50

Very short odds, but likely, with 6 goals in the reverse leg and at least 5 scored in 3 of the last 4 Premier League meetings. Tottenham are 2-0-4 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 9-15, with over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of those 6 games. Manchester City are 6-0-0 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 24-4, seeing at least 4 goals scored in 5.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.45

Lose

-50

3 of the last 4 meetings in the Premier League have seen both sides score, an the last 14 Tottenham home league games have also seen both sides scoring. Tottenham are 2-0-4 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 9-15, both teams scoring in 4. City are 6-0-0 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 24-4, both sides scoring in 3, but Tottenham have scored in all of their home PL matches this season.

Over 11.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-50

A high count, but there were 18 corners in the reverse fixture (Man City 10, Tottenham 8) and in their last 3 home league games the Tottenham match corner counts have been 12 (9-3), 14 (8-6) and 14 (12-2) v Burnley, Arsenal and Nottingham Forest. Away from home the recent Manchester City match corner counts have been 8 (7-1), 9 (5-4) and 8 (4-4) v Fulham, Nottingham Forest and Brighton.
18:30 Sparta Prague v Banik Ostrava

Sparta Prague

50 WIN

@1.30

Win

15

1st v 5th, Sparta Prague are unbeaten in 18 matches against Banik Ostrava in all competitions, and beat them 4-3 in April. They are 4-2-0 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 16-8, whilst Banik are 1-2-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 10-16.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.29

Win

14

There were 7 goals scored when the teams met in April and 3 of the last 4 meetings have seen over 2.5 goals scored. Sparta Prague are 4-2-0 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 16-8, with at least 4 goals scored in 4 of their last 5 matches. Banik are 1-2-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 10-16, seeing over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of those 6 games.

Sparta Prague #4-2

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

Sparta won 4-3 when the sides met in April, and they are 4-2-0 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 16-8, including wins by 3-1, 4-1 and 4-2. Banik are 1-2-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 10-16, including a 3-2 win, two 2-2 draws and a 0-5 defeat.
15:00 3:00 Southwell

Jeteye

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

A lightly raced 7 year old, making his 'chasing debut. He finished 2nd of 13 over hurdles over course and distance on heavy ground when last seen in April. Jonathan England is his regular partner and rides today. Tongue tie wearing for the second time, he looks well handicapped and has a good chance to win on debut over fences.
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13:30 Alexander Zverev vs Nuno Borges

Alexander Zverev

1st Set Winner

50 WIN

@1.25

Win

12

5 v 53 in terms of ranking, this is the first meeting between these two players, with Zverev having won 24 of 33 matches in 2024 including 6 of 9 on clay courts. Borges has won 20 of 33 matches this year including 8 of 12 on clay court surfaces.
13 May 2024
20:00 Aston Villa v Liverpool

Draw

50 WIN

@4.75

Win

188

4th v 3rd, Aston Villa are winless in 7 v Liverpool in all competitions, with both 2-2-2 from 6 recently in the Premier League, Villa with a goals aggregate of 11-11 and Liverpool 11-10. A draw today looks a likely outcome.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

14 of the last 15 meetings in all competitions have seen at least 2 goals scored with 10 of the last 14 registering over 2.5 goals. Villa are 2-2-2 from 6 recently with 4 of those 6 matches seeing at least 4 goals scored. Liverpool are also 2-2-2 from 6, also seeing at least 4 goals scored in 4 of those games.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.36

Win

18

Both teams have scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings in all competitions, with Villa 2-2-2 from 6 recently in the league, both teams scoring in 4 of those matches. Liverpool are also 2-2-2 from 6 recently, again with both teams scoring in 4, and Liverpool have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 9 Premier League matches.

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

4th v 3rd, Villa are winless in 7 in all competitions against Liverpool and they are 2-2-2 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 11-11, including 2-2 and 3-3 draws. Liverpool are also 2-2-2 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 11-10, including two 2-2 draws.
19:45 Fiorentina v Monza

Fiorentina

50 WIN

@1.53

Win

26

9th v 12th, Fiorentina won the reverse fixture 1-0 and they are 2-1-3 from 6 recently in the league with a goals aggregate of 10-7. Monza are 0-3-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 6-10. A home win looks likely today.
17:35 5:35 Windsor

Lennox

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.50

Lose

-50

A lightly raced 3 year old with a good chance in a field of 7. He placed on an all weather surface at Wolverhampton in November, then after a break returned to finish 2nd of 8 over 8 furlongs at Yarmouth in April. Upped in distance today which should suit, with regular jockey Hayley Turner due to ride.
11:00 Northants vs Gloucestershire County Championship

Northants

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-50

Each has won 1 of the last 5 meetings with 3 drawn. 5th v 8th(bottom) in the Table, Northamptonshire have home advantage, and are unbeaten in their last 5 championship matches, winning 1 and drawing 5. Gloucestershire are winless in their last 5 championship matches, drawing two with one abandoned without a ball bowled.
12 May 2024
19:30 Dinamo Bucharest v UTA Arad

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-50

Goals probably likely, with Dinamo Bucharest 1-3-2 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 7-8, with at least two goals scored in each of their last 4 matches. UTA Arad are 4-1-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 11-6, with at least two goals scored in each of their last 5 games including over 2.5 goals in 3.
18:00 6:00 Newcastle

Aerospace

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

Lightly raced Irish 4 year old, he returned from a break and Stable move post gelding to win twice in succession, finishing 1st of 8 over 9.5 furlongs at Wolverhampton in March and then 1st of 7 over 10 furlongs at Newcastle in April. Upped to 12.5 furlongs which should suit, he has a good chance of a hat trick of all weather surface wins with Luke Morris, who partnered to his first win, riding again today.
17:30 Danielle Collins vs Caroline Garcia

Danielle Collins

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

15 v 23 in terms of ranking, Collins leads 4-0 head to head, all straight sets wins on hard courts. Collins has won 29 of 37 matches this year including 9 of 10 on clay court surfaces, whilst Garcia has won 14 of 25 matches in 2024 including 5 of 8 played on clay court surfaces.
16:30 Man Utd v Arsenal

Man Utd

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

8th v 2nd, United are 1-3-2 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 12-15, and need a big reaction after a 0-4 defeat v Crystal Palace. They lost the reverse fixture 1-3 but have won the last 2 home meetings, scoring 3 goals each time, and they have only lost 1 of the last 17 home meetings in the Premier League against Arsenal who are. 5-0-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 16-4.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.33

Lose

-50

The last 5 meetings have all seen at least 4 goals with Manchester United 1-3-2 from 6 recently, with at least 4 goals scored in 5 of those 6 matches. Arsenal are 5-0-1 from 6 recently with at least 2 goals scored in all 6 and over 2.5 goals scored in 4.

Man Utd & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

Both sides have scored in each of their last 5 meetings, with Manchester United winning the last two at home 3-1 and 3-2. They have lost just 1 of the last 17 head to head at home in the league and are 1-3-2 from 6 recently with both teams scoring in 5. Arsenal are 5-0-1 from 6 recently, scoring in 5 and concedi in 2.

Man Utd #3-2

50 WIN

@46.00

Lose

-50

United have won the last two home matches against Arsenal 3-1 and 3-2, and have lost just 1 of the last 17 home league meetings. The last 5 meetings have seen at least 4 goals scored, with 3-2 scores featuring twice and three. 3-1's. Manchester United are 1-3-2 from 6 recently including scores of 4-2, 2-2 twice and 2-3, whilst Arsenal are 5-0-1 from 6 including a 3-2 score.

Over 4.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

@1.78

Lose

-50

In a traditionally competitive fixture over 4.5 cards seems very possible. In the reverse fixture this season there were 5 bookings (Arsenal 3, United 2) and in this fixture last season there were 6 cautions (United 3, Arsenal3).
11 May 2024
19:45 Milton Keynes Dons v Crawley Town

Milton Keynes Dons #5-2

50 WIN

@67.00

Lose

-50

With Crawley 3-0 ahead after the first leg, but MK Dons winning the last 3 home meetings, including the league meeting 2-0, this could be a goal fest. MK Dons are 2-2-2 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 15-17, including a 5-3 win and 4-4 and 3-3 draws. Crawley are also 2-2-2 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 11-10, including 2-3 and 1-4 defeats.
17:30 Nottm Forest v Chelsea

Nottm Forest

17th v 7th, a win would virtually guarantee Forest Premier League survival, and they won the reverse fixture 1-0 and drew both meetings last season. Forest are 2-1-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 9-11, whilst Chelsea are 3-2-1 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 17-9. Forest have to be positive with home advantage and Chelsea have been unreliable this season.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.53

Win

26

There was just 1 goal scored in the reverse fixture but a high scoring game seems likely in a match that Forest need to win to virtually secure Premier League survival. They are 2-1-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 9-11, with at least 2 goals scored in all 6 and over 2.5 goals in 4. Chelsea are 3-2-1 from 6 recently, also seeing at least 2 goals in all 6 and over 2.5 goals in 5.
15:15 3:15 Haydock

Afadil

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

Consistent recently, with cheekpieces seeming to help, he has finished in the first three 8 times from 14 starts over hurdles, most recently finishing 4th of 15 over 2 miles at Ayr in April. Freddie Gingell is his regular jockey who claims 3lb's and Trainer Paul Nicholls is in good form. Today's distance of almost 2 miles will suit.
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15:00 Bournemouth v Brentford

Draw

10th v 16th, the reverse fixture was drawn as was this match last season. Bournemouth are 2-1-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 8-10 whilst Brentford are 2-3-1 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 10-5, having now drawn 4 of their last 7 matches.
15:00 Newcastle v Brighton

Newcastle

6th v 11th, Brighton won the reverse fixture but Newcastle have won the last two home meetings. Newcastle are in good form, 4-1-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 15-5, whilst Brighton are 1-2-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 2-11.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.30

Lose

-50

There were 4 goals in the reverse fixture and 5 in this match last season. Newcastle are 4-1-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 15-5, their last 4 matches seeing goals totals of 5,6, 2 and 4. Brighton are 1-2-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 2-11, with over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 5 matches.
15:00 Wolverhampton v Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

12th v 14th, Wolves have lost 5 of the last 6 Premier League meetings, including the reverse fixture 2-3. Wolves have home advantage but are 1-1-4 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 4-13 whilst Palace are in good form, 4-1-1 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 15-7, having beaten Manchester United 4-0 in their last game.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

There were 5 goals scored in the reverse fixture and more seem likely today. Wolves are 1-1-4 from 6 recently with at least 2 goals scored in 5 and over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 6 matches. Crystal Palace are 4-1-1 from 6 recently, also with at least 2 goals scored in 5 and over 2.5 goals in 3.

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