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Won on Mill Stream @9.00 on Wednesday
WIN @
The 4yo was progressive last year, finishing off with a 3rd in the Group 1 St. Ledger/ big run on his return three weeks ago- losing by a hd in a decent Group 3 race- the form boosted by the 3rd at Chester last week/ he should improve for the run and the rating makes him a key player in this Group 3.
WIN @
Four runs for the 3yo filly, form 3210/ excuses on her last start- heavy ground- she was a cosy 3L conditions race winner on her third start/ she’s best judged on her first two starts- on quicker ground and not beaten far- races won by two runners now rated 105 and 110/ the selection is effectively racing off an 86 mark on her return in this class 3 handicap - jockey claiming 3lb - and she could be a class above these rivals.
EW @
A consistent 3yo filly/ 3 wins and 3 seconds from 7 starts- the only blip came on fast ground at Royal Ascot/ she was a close runner-up on her last start which was a French Group 2 race last Oct, with the rest quite well beaten that day/ I think she’s been overlooked in this Listed contest on her return.
EW @
The 5yo ran a nice return run four weeks ago, 4 of 15 in a quality handicap/ the form given a big boost since by the 2nd and 3rd/ he should improve for the run and has a 2lb lower mark/ he looks well treated at the weights going off his form from last summer/ no problem with the quick ground.
WIN @
Three runs for the 3yo colt/ a win and a very narrow defeat from three starts/ the form is very strong and he has mixed it with some high rated rivals/ he’s coming off an 8 month break and could be much better than his opening handicap mark of 93/ big run could be expected with William Buick booked for the ride.
WIN @
Lightly raced 4yo, ex Irish trained/ back from a 5 month break with a big run two weeks ago- over this 8f C/D/ a close 2nd of 16 in a useful looking contest earning a high RPR rating/ easily having the measure of the rest/ he didn’t have a great track position/ strong jockey booking for this race and hopefully a step forward.
Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.